A selected Pokémon with shiny artwork gets a 1/100 shiny check. If that shiny is already owned, the draw can reroute to a missing shiny in the same rarity pool; if none is missing it becomes normal. A named missing target therefore depends on region, rarity, eligible members and your existing shiny collection.

What collection state changes

Scroll sideways to read every column.

RuleResult / next action
No eligible shiny spriteNo shiny result for that selected species.
Selected shiny missingThe eligible 1% check can add this variant.
Selected shiny owned, others missingReroute among missing shiny members in that rarity pool.
Entire eligible rarity shiny pool ownedThe shiny event falls back to a normal result.

The 100-check example has a specific meaning

For 100 independent eligible 1% checks, 1−0.99^100≈63.4%. That is the chance of a generated shiny event, not a guarantee of a new named shiny. Select the correct region and enter existing owned/shiny lists in the collection-aware gacha calculator to model rerouting. The wild 1/4096 and rift 1/512 rates are different sources.

Try the explained example

Tools

Related pages

Game data & sources

The linked game files show where these stats, costs and rules come from. Updates to the game may change them.

Data version: a9b21f09

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